Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.180702 0.202625 0.225510 0.251128 0.278948 0.308189 0.341191
2025-02-09 0.151300 0.181069 0.213669 0.251828 0.295074 0.342366 0.397794
2025-02-16 0.132137 0.167302 0.207415 0.256149 0.313331 0.377870 0.455773
2025-02-23 0.119315 0.158814 0.205514 0.264093 0.334866 0.416859 0.518235
2025-03-02 0.104140 0.145587 0.196319 0.261923 0.343381 0.440052 0.562211
2025-03-09 0.092722 0.135684 0.189978 0.262147 0.353967 0.465262 0.608588
2025-03-16 0.082457 0.126132 0.183047 0.260692 0.361745 0.486634 0.650258
2025-03-23 0.076338 0.121459 0.181868 0.266157 0.378005 0.518523 0.705294
2025-03-30 0.069108 0.114503 0.176972 0.266132 0.386745 0.540741 0.748320
2025-04-06 0.062661 0.108031 0.172158 0.265689 0.394543 0.561571 0.789675
2025-04-13 0.056925 0.102056 0.167528 0.265034 0.401716 0.581435 0.829885
2025-04-20 0.052717 0.098010 0.165313 0.267468 0.412918 0.606616 0.877302
2025-04-27 0.050106 0.096408 0.166771 0.275461 0.432447 0.643937 0.942392
2025-05-04 0.045974 0.091964 0.163639 0.276532 0.442172 0.668157 0.990460
2025-05-11 0.043124 0.089381 0.163137 0.281352 0.457234 0.699869 1.049140
2025-05-18 0.041367 0.088500 0.165187 0.289989 0.477930 0.739696 1.119508
2025-05-25 0.037477 0.083491 0.160297 0.287706 0.482478 0.756978 1.159166
2025-06-01 0.034462 0.079764 0.157212 0.287975 0.490640 0.779344 1.206079
2025-06-08 0.031395 0.075629 0.153150 0.286424 0.495885 0.797510 1.247292
2025-06-15 0.029877 0.074323 0.153767 0.292310 0.512441 0.832103 1.312046
2025-06-22 0.027516 0.071113 0.150870 0.292288 0.519839 0.853480 1.358331
2025-06-29 0.025290 0.067944 0.147822 0.291814 0.526409 0.873650 1.403096
2025-07-06 0.023223 0.064884 0.144754 0.291111 0.532495 0.893104 1.447019